Table 2 Match between identified models with requirements of HTA programme

Carter (2004)

Simulation using Poisson distribution

Y

P

Y

Y

Y

Carter (2005)

Unconditional

Y

Y

N

N

Y

Conditional

Y

Y

Y

Y

Y

Simulation using Poisson distribution

Y

P

Y

Y

Y

Simulation using Poisson distribution with average recruitment rates (λ) varied according to a uniform distribution

Y

P

Y

Y

Y

Anisimov (2007)

Poisson process with recruitment rates (λ) viewed as a sample from a gamma distribution

N

Y

Y

N

P

Moussa (1984)

Conditional

Y

Y

Y

N

Y

Williford (1987)

Poisson

N

Y

Y

N

N

Negative binomial (Poisson process with recruitment rates (λ) viewed as a sample from a gamma distribution)

N

Y

Y

Y

N

Lees contagious poisson

N

Y

Y

Y

N

Bayesian - prior distribution is possion-gamma, posterior is gamma

N

Y

Y

N

N

Gajewski (2007)

Bayesian - prior distribution is the inverse gamma, likelihood is the exponential distribution, posterior distribution is the inverse gamma

N

Y

Y

P

Y

Abbas (2007)

Markov

N

P

Y

N

Y

Hadich (2001)

Time series

N

P

N

N

N