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Table 3 Comparison of optimal BMI and 5-year mortality estimates across models

From: Examining the BMI-mortality relationship using fractional polynomials

 

MFP

Linear-Quadratic

Categorical

Never Smokers

   

Male

   

   Optimal BMI

26.97 [26.41, 27.54]

31.84 [30.34, 33.34]

25-30

   Mortality at Optimum

0.0176 [0.0158, 0.0196]

0.0188 [0.0168, 0.0210]

0.0169 [0.0152, 0.0188]

   Mortality at BMI = 50

0.0548 [0.0428, 0.0699]

0.0544 [0.0383, 0.0766]

0.0355 [0.0251, 0.0499]

Female

   

   Optimal BMI

22.34 [20.10, 24.57]

23.04 [18.15, 27.93]

25-30

   Mortality at Optimum

0.0100 [0.0088, 0.0115]

0.0128 [0.0115, 0.0141]

0.0120 [0.0107, 0.0134]

   Mortality at BMI = 50

0.0355 [0.0274, 0.0460]

0.0306 [0.0377, 0.0248]

0.0291 [0.0233, 0.0363]

Ever Smokers

   

Male

   

   Optimal BMI

26.97 [26.41, 27.54]

31.84 [30.34, 33.34]

25-30

   Mortality at Optimum

0.0306 [0.0283, 0.0331]

0.0329 [0.0301, 0.0358]

0.0299 [0.0273, 0.0326]

   Mortality at BMI = 50

0.0939 [0.0750, 0.1168]

0.0926 [0.0667, 0.1271]

0.0619 [0.0447, 0.0852]

Female

   

   Optimal BMI

22.34 [20.10, 24.57]

23.04 [18.15, 27.93]

25-30

   Mortality at Optimum

0.0223 [0.0199, 0.0250]

0.0237 [0.0217, 0.0260]

0.0223 [0.0200, 0.0248]

   Mortality at BMI = 50

0.0765 [0.0610, 0.0955]

0.0559 [0.0459, 0.0680]

0.0534 [0.0433, 0.0657]

  1. 95% confidence intervals are in brackets.