A simulation model approach to analysis of the business case for eliminating health care disparities

Table 3 Mammography Model Outputs, with Sensitivity Analysis Results

Model Output		Version of Simulation Model*
	Rate	Base	I	II	III	IV
	70%	4.85705	4.85599	4.85731	4.85756	4.85772
Life Expectancy	80%	4.85856	4.85735	4.85887	4.85919	4.85929
	*Diff*	*0.00151*	*0.00136*	*0.00156*	*0.00163*	*0.00157*
	70%	4.84524	4.84369	4.84570	4.84617	4.84643
QALYs	80%	4.84762	4.84586	4.84820	4.84877	4.84894
	*Diff*	*0.00238*	*0.00217*	*0.00250*	*0.00260*	*0.00251*
	70%	4.84087	4.83922	4.84135	4.84183	4.84211
Employment Rate	80%	4.84357	4.84170	4.84417	4.84475	4.84494
	*Diff*	*0.00270*	*0.00248*	*0.00282*	*0.00292*	*0.00283*
	70%	$178.1132	$181.9811	$176.8969	$175.6906	$175.1368
Cost to Employer of Missed Work	80%	$165.5864	$169.9384	$164.0923	$162.6172	$162.2439
	*Diff*	*$-12.5268*	*$-12.0427*	*$-12.8046*	*$-13.0734*	*$-12.8929*
	70%	$1123.3621	$1142.1542	$1116.8214	$1110.3160	$1106.7010
Medical Care Cost	80%	$1085.6956	$1107.1215	$1077.6608	$1069.7061	$1067.2694
	*Diff*	*$-37.6665*	*$-35.0327*	*$-39.1606*	*$-40.6099*	*$-39.4316*

*Models vary in terms of the shift in distribution of stage at diagnosis attributed to increase in mammography rates. Model I is least optimistic in terms of the amount of stage shift produced: model IV is most optimistic.

ISSN: 1471-2288