Table 2 The MDI’s and the MHI-5’s predictive value for long-term sickness absence

MDI

4153

1.44 [1.31; 1.59]

3.31E-14

1.27 [1.12; 1.43]

0.0001

MHI-5

4153

1.50 [1.35; 1.66]

9E-15

1.37 [1.21; 1.55]

5.57E-07

MDI (with MHI-5 as covariate)

1.07 [0.92; 1.26]

0.37

MHI-5 (with MDI as covariate)

1.31 [1.11; 1.54]

0.001

MDI dichotomized

MDI cutpoint 20 depression (yes/no)

301

2.79 [2.00; 3.88]

1.5E-09

1.98 [1.36; 2.89]

0.0004

MDI ICD-10 depression (yes/no)

113

3.58 [2.29; 5.60]

2.28E-08

2.08 [1.26; 3.43]

0.004

MDI DSM-IV depression (yes/no)

90

3.40 [2.05; 5.64]

2.23E-06

1.92 [1.08; 3.41]

0.03

MDI categorical

MDI = 0–4 (reference level)

1591

1

1

MDI = 5-9

1456

1.55 [1.11; 2.17]

1.42 [0.99; 2.03]

MDI = 10-14

515

2.33 [1.57; 3.45]

1.60 [1.03; 2.50]

MDI = 15-19

290

2.05 [1.25; 3.38]

1.38 [0.80; 2.38]

MDI > =20

301

4.08 [2.74; 6.07]

2.68 [1.68; 4.27]

(p-value for all 5 levels)

8.52E-11

0.001

MHI-5 dichotomized

MHI cutpoint 52 mental ill (yes/no)

304

2.58 [1.84; 3.62]

4.32E-08

1.92 [1.32; 2.81]

0.0007

MHI cutpoint 60 mental ill (yes/no)

595

2.85 [2.17; 3.73]

2.82E-14

2.20 [1.62; 2.99]

4.83E-07

MHI cutpoint 68 mental ill (yes/no)

978

2.44 [1.90; 3.14]

4.82E-12

1.99 [1.49; 2.66]

2.83E-06

MHI cutpoint 76 mental ill (yes/no)

1560

2.05 [1.59; 2.64]

2.14E-08

1.57 [1.18; 2.09]

0.002

MHI-5 categorical

MHI = 91–100 (reference level)

1104

1

1

MHI = 81-90

1093

1.02 [0.67; 1.54]

1.01 [0.65; 1.57]

MHI = 71-80

978

1.39 [0.94; 2.07]

1.21 [0.78; 1.86]

MHI =61-70

383

1.77 [1.10; 2.87]

1.57 [0.94; 2.61]

MHI < 60

595

3.41 [2.35; 4.94]

2.56 [1.67; 3.92]

(p-value for all 5 levels)

5.75E-13

9.09E-06