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Table 1 Classification of outcomes of drug RCTs based on results reported for primary endpoints

From: Recommendations for a uniform assessment of publication bias related to funding source

 

Positive outcome

Negative outcome

Results for primary endpoint statistically significant and supporting the efficacy of test drug

X

 

Results for primary endpoint do not reach statistical significance

 

X

Results for primary endpoint statistically significant in direction of control treatment being more efficacious

 

X

Treatments equivalent regarding primary endpoint in non-inferiority or equivalence trials

X

 

Treatments equally effective regarding primary endpoint in trials not explicitly described as superiority or non-inferiority study

X

 

Test drug as safe or safer than control treatment in trials with safety parameter as primary endpoint

X

 

Treatments equally harmful in trials with safety parameter as primary endpoint, when hypothesized that test drug is expected to be safer than control

 

X

Results for >50% of (primary) endpoints statistically significant in favour of test drug, when no/multiple primary endpoints are reported

X

 

Results for one primary endpoint statistically significant in favour of test drug, when two co-primary endpoints are reported

 

X

Treatment effects not compared between groups but against baseline in each arm; results for primary endpoint statistically significant in favour of test drug

X