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Table 4 Transition Probability and Relative Risk at 30, 90, 180 and 270 days from previous admission.

From: A markov model to evaluate hospital readmission

Patient

A. 1° → 2° Admission

B. 2° → 3° Admission

 

30 days

90 days

180 days

270 days

30 days

90 days

180 days

270 days

 

Transition Probability

Transition Probability

Id 1

6.3%

10.7%

15.3%

20.0%

25.4%

42.9%

55.8%

65.2%

Id 2

10.7%

15.3%

18.7%

21.6%

54.7%

72.8%

78.1%

77.9%

Id 3

13.9%

21.8%

28.8%

34.5%

31.7%

48.7%

57.5%

60.8%

Id 4

20.6%

26.7%

30.1%

34.0%

60.8%

69.7%

69.5%

66.0%

 

Relative Risk

Relative Risk

Id 2/Id 1

1.70

1.43

1.22

1.08

2.15

1.70

1.40

1.19

Id 4/Id 3

1.48

1.23

1.04

0.98

1.91

1.43

1.21

1.08

Id 3/Id 1

2.20

2.04

1.88

1.73

1.25

1.14

1.03

0.93

Id 4/Id 2

1.92

1.75

1.61

1.57

1.11

0.96

0.89

0.85