Figure 2

Relation of age to ARM transition probabilities for different birth cohorts. A includes plots for incidence probabilities, B includes plots for progression probabilities, C includes plots for regression probabilities, and D includes plots for disappearance probabilities. Within each transition probability, the top panel is the plot based on observed data (obs), the middle panel is the plot based on separate analysis (SEP model), and the bottom panel is the plot based on joint analysis (JA model). In each panel, different numbers represent different birth cohorts (birth years).