Estimating cardiovascular disease incidence from prevalence: a spreadsheet based model

Table 1 Estimated incidence rate of all and hospitalized myocardial infarction in the US population from 2000 to 2011 (1/100000)

	2000–2001	2002–2003	2004–2005	2006–2007	2008–2009	2010–2011
Estimated incidence of all MI	843	998	546	498	543	678
Estimated incidence of hospitalized MI^a	472	559	306	279	304	380

^a56% of all the myocardial infarctions will be hospitalized basing on the assumption that 30% of the myocardial infarction events are fatal, and 20% of the myocardial infarction are silent (thus not hospitalized).
Incidence of myocardial infarction = 843-32*(year-2000); Incidence of hospitalized myocardial infarction = 540-18*(year-2000)

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