Estimating cardiovascular disease incidence from prevalence: a spreadsheet based model

Table 3 Cohort mortality for US population with and without acute myocardial infarction in 1999^a

Age group	Mortality rate during hospitalization (a)	2-year mortality rate after hospital discharge (b)	Overall 2-year mortality rate after AMI^b (c)	Survival fraction 2 years after AMI^c (d)	1-year mortality for people without AMI (e)
Men
35–49	0.029	0.060	0.087	0.913	0.003
50–54	0.041	0.083	0.121	0.879	0.006
55–59	0.057	0.083	0.135	0.865	0.009
60–64	0.082	0.172	0.240	0.760	0.014
65–69	0.107	0.172	0.261	0.739	0.022
70–74	0.144	0.289	0.391	0.609	0.034
75–79	0.184	0.289	0.420	0.580	0.052
80+	0.218	0.513	0.619	0.381	0.083
Women
35–49	0.061	0.120	0.174	0.826	0.002
50–54	0.074	0.115	0.180	0.820	0.004
55–59	0.095	0.115	0.199	0.801	0.006
60–64	0.111	0.184	0.275	0.725	0.009
65–69	0.134	0.184	0.293	0.707	0.014
70–74	0.166	0.310	0.425	0.575	0.022
75–79	0.191	0.310	0.442	0.558	0.035
80+	0.215	0.460	0.576	0.424	0.057

^a3% improve in overall 2-year AMI mortality in every two years were assumed for subsequent years
^bc = a + (1-a)*b
^cd = 1-c

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