Table 2 Dukes’ stage probabilities given age and mortality, estimated under MAR and the elicited mean (variance)
Characteristic | Dukes’ stage probabilities under MAR | Elicited Dukes’ stage probabilities Mean (variance) |
|---|---|---|
Alive 30 days after surgery and age ≤ 70 | ||
Dukes’ stage A | 0.13 | 0.21 (0.008) |
Dukes’ stage B | 0.35 | 0.32 (0.010) |
Dukes’ stage C | 0.39 | 0.28 (0.005) |
Dukes’ stage D | 0.12 | 0.19 (0.045) |
Dead 30 days after surgery and age ≤ 70 | ||
Dukes’ stage A | 0.08 | 0.05 (0.001) |
Dukes’ stage B | 0.31 | 0.17 (0.002) |
Dukes’ stage C | 0.41 | 0.38 (0.002) |
Dukes’ stage D | 0.20 | 0.40 (0.001) |
Alive 30 days after surgery and age > 70 | ||
Dukes’ stage A | 0.13 | 0.24 (0.013) |
Dukes’ stage B | 0.43 | 0.37 (0.016) |
Dukes’ stage C | 0.36 | 0.23 (0.009) |
Dukes’ stage D | 0.08 | 0.17 (0.046) |
Dead 30 days after surgery and age > 70 | ||
Dukes’ stage A | 0.07 | 0.08 (0.003) |
Dukes’ stage B | 0.39 | 0.26 (0.010) |
Dukes’ stage C | 0.39 | 0.36 (0.012) |
Dukes’ stage D | 0.14 | 0.29 (0.025) |