Models for predicting the risk of MI (EPV ≈ 7) | ||||
Methods | Calibration Slope | AUC | Brier Score | APP |
MLE | 0.696(0.258) | 0.768(0.051) | 0.047 | 0.051 |
Firth | 0.706(0.260) | 0.766(0.052) | 0.049 | 0.057 |
logF(1,1) | 0.713 (0.265) | 0.769(0.051) | 0.048 | 0.052 |
logF(2,2) | 0.723 (0.271) | 0.769(0.051) | 0.048 | 0.052 |
RIDGE | 0.772(0.309) | 0.762(0.053) | 0.047 | 0.050 |
Models for predicting the risk of CABG (EPV ≈ 10) | ||||
MLE | 0.912(0.219) | 0.814(0.046) | 0.057 | 0.056 |
Firth | 0.909 (0.217) | 0.814 (0.046) | 0.056 | 0.059 |
logF(1,1) | 0.921(0.221) | 0.814(0.046) | 0.056 | 0.055 |
logF(2,2) | 0.926(0.223) | 0.813(0.046) | 0.057 | 0.055 |
RIDGE | 0.886(0.217) | 0.814(0.046) | 0.057 | 0.055 |
Models for predicting the risk of PTCA (EPV ≈ 5) | ||||
MLE | 0.718 (0.291) | 0.730(0.108) | 0.034 | 0.061 |
Firth | 0.721(0.279) | 0.729(0.108) | 0.035 | 0.066 |
logF(1,1) | 0.721(0.298) | 0.728(0.107) | 0.034 | 0.061 |
logF(2,2) | 0.720(0.305) | 0.728(0.107) | 0.034 | 0.061 |
RIDGE | 0.774(0.544) | 0.727(0.107) | 0.033 | 0.061 |
Models for predicting the risk of cardiac death (EPV ≈ 6) | ||||
MLE | 0.661(0.529) | 0.688(0.121) | 0.024 | 0.062 |
Firth | 0.680(0.545) | 0.688 (0.121) | 0.024 | 0.067 |
logF(1,1) | 0.645(0.535) | 0.687(0.120) | 0.024 | 0.062 |
logF(2,2) | 0.623 (0.538) | 0.687 (0.120) | 0.024 | 0.061 |
RIDGE | 0.665 (0.608) | 0.684 (0.121) | 0.023 | 0.062 |
Models for predicting the risk of any cardiac event (EPV ≈ 15) | ||||
MLE | 0.942(0.206) | 0.771(0.044) | 0.059 | 0.164 |
Firth | 0.946(0.207) | 0.767 (0.044) | 0.059 | 0.167 |
logF(1,1) | 0.945(0.206) | 0.770(0.044) | 0.058 | 0.164 |
logF(2,2) | 0.946(0.207) | 0.770 (0.044) | 0.058 | 0.164 |
RIDGE | 1.004(0.222) | 0.769(0.044) | 0.056 | 0.165 |