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Table 2 Estimated time-dependent AUC for Year 1, Year 5 and Year 10

From: Time-dependent ROC curve analysis in medical research: current methods and applications

Definitions

Marker time

Method

AUC (SD)

Year 1

Year 5

Year 10

C/D

t = 0

Naïve

0.846 (0.023)

0.885 (0.022)

0.883 (0.030)

CD1

0.922 (0.041)

0.921 (0.021)

0.878 (0.027)

CD2

0.895 (0.056)

0.897 (0.024)

0.869 (0.028)

CD3

0.922 (0.042)

0.917 (0.020)

0.898 (0.031)

CD5

0.922 (0.042)

0.915 (0.021)

0.866 (0.028)

CD6

0.922 (0.038)

0.915 (0.020)

0.870 (0.030)

C/D

Last value prior to:

ECD2

   

Year 1

 

0.926 (0.039)

0.918 (0.019)

0.871 (0.027)

Year 5

 

-

0.911 (0.019)

0.910 (0.021)

Year 10

 

-

-

0.899 (0.022)

I/D

t = 0

ID1

0.845 (0.010)

0.791 (0.028)

0.692 (0.024)

ID3

0.893 (0.048)

0.757 (0.041)

0.716 (0.143)

I/S

t = 0

IS2

0.939 (0.025)

0.836 (0.028)

0.698 (0.034)

I/S

Last value prior to:

IS2

   

Year 1

 

0.968 (0.003)

0.872 (0.024)

0.698 (0.043)

Year 5

 

-

0.957 (0.003)

0.698 (0.031)

Year 10

 

-

-

0.768 (0.038)