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Table 5 Estimated person-years and expected cancer cases, and SIR according to different models, Cohort study in Saarland, Germany, 1990–2005

From: Estimating the standardized incidence ratio (SIR) with incomplete follow-up data

  

Male

 

Female

 

Observed

Expected SIR

95% confidence interval

Observed

Expected SIR

95% confidence interval

  

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Person-years

 

81,193.4

74,377.9

84,907.6

90,510.7

 

86,557.7

79,308.5

90,505.8

96,200.2

All Cancersa

235

211.0

1.11

0.98, 1.27

189.0

1.24

1.09, 1.41

226.2

1.04

0.91, 1.18

261.1

0.90

0.79, 1.02

235

232.0

1.01

0.89, 1.15

209.7

1.12

0.99, 1.27

244.2

0.96

0.85, 1.09

274.5

0.86

0.75, 0.97

Stomach

27

8.3

3.25

2.14, 4.75

7.5

3.60

2.37, 5.26

8.8

3.07

2.02, 4.48

10.5

2.57

1.68, 3.75

21

6.8

3.09

1.91, 4.73

6.1

3.44

2.13, 5.27

7.1

2.96

1.83, 4.53

8.4

2.50

1.55, 3.83

Colorectal

18

31.0

0.58

0.34, 0.92

27.6

0.65

0.39, 1,03

32.8

0.55

0.33, 0.87

39.1

0.46

0.27, 0.73

39

31.9

1.22

0.87, 1.67

28.6

1.36

0.97, 1.86

33.6

1.16

0.83, 1.59

39.2

0.99

0.71, 1.36

Lung

61

36.2

1.69

1.31, 2.17

32.4

1.88

1.46, 2.42

38.3

1.59

1.24, 2.05

45.0

1.36

1.05, 1.74

6

15.7

0.38

0.14, 0.83

14.1

0.43

0.16, 0.93

16.6

0.36

013, 0,79

18.5

0.32

0.12, 0.71

Breast

     

57

72.1

0.79

0.61, 1.02

65.3

0.87

0.67, 1.13

75.8

0.75

0.58, 0.97

83.6

0.68

0.53, 0.88

Prostate

35

37.6

0.93

0.65, 1.29

33.3

1.05

0.73, 1.46

40.0

0.88

0.61, 1.22

48.7

0.72

0.50, 1.00

     

Leukaemia

9

5.9

1.53

0.70, 2.90

5.4

1.67

0.76, 3.17

6.3

1.43

0.65, 2.71

7.1

1.27

0.58, 2.41

7

5.2

1.35

0.54, 2.77

4.7

1.49

0.60, 3.07

5.5

1.27

0.51, 2.62

6.2

1.13

0.45, 2.33

  1. aexcept nonmelanoma skin cancer
  2. Model 1– migration based on available data
  3. Model 2 – assuming doubled migration of model 1
  4. Model 3 – assuming halved migration of model 1
  5. Model 4 – raw person-years