Scenarios
|
Point estimate of the 5-year survival probability
|
95% CI of the expected survival
|
---|
Mean bias
|
Standard error
|
Coverage probability
|
---|
Pointwise
|
Spline
|
Pointwise
|
Spline
|
Pointwise
|
Spline
|
---|
| | | |
Anly
|
Boot
|
Anly
|
Boot
|
---|
(1) Complete null
|
−0.002
|
−0.001
|
0.05
|
0.05
|
0.93
|
0.97
|
0.94
|
1.00
|
(2) Treatment effect only
|
−0.001
|
−0.001
|
0.06
|
0.05
|
0.93
|
0.96
|
0.93
|
1.00
|
(3) 20 prognostic biomarkers
|
−0.002
|
0.001
|
0.09
|
0.09
|
0.91
|
0.97
|
0.89
|
0.98
|
(4) 15 treatment-effect modifiers
|
−0.003
|
−0.001
|
0.11
|
0.10
|
0.88
|
0.96
|
0.89
|
0.98
|
(5) Treatment effect + (4)
|
−0.002
|
0.000
|
0.11
|
0.10
|
0.88
|
0.96
|
0.89
|
0.98
|
(6) 20 prognostic biomarkers + (5)
|
−0.005
|
0.000
|
0.13
|
0.13
|
0.88
|
0.96
|
0.87
|
0.96
|
- Anly: analytical approach, Boot: non-parametric bootstrap approach, CI: confidence interval. Average quantities across 250 replications