Skip to main content

Table 1 BIC and parameters estimates (r.s.e (%)) of PSA kinetics and survival in the N=400 patients for the 4 joint models

From: Nonlinear joint models for individual dynamic prediction of risk of death using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo: application to metastatic prostate cancer

Models No link Current PSA PSA slope Area under PSA
BIC 14350 14192 14291 14327
r (day−1) 0.054 (1) 0.054 (1) 0.055 (1) 0.054 (1)
P S A 0(ng.mL−1) 74.6 (8) 73.9 (8) 73.4 (8) 74.9 (8)
ε 0.35 (5) 0.34 (5) 0.35 (5) 0.35 (5)
T esc (day) 138 (4) 138 (4) 142 (4) 136 (4)
λ (day) 885 (4) 3800 (9) 1500 (9) 1410 (13)
k 1.52 (3) 1.19 (1) 1.33 (9) 1.15 (7)
β - 0.32 (4) 100 (10) 0.00025 (20)
ω r 0.098 (5) 0.098 (4) 0.11 (5) 0.10 (5)
\(\omega _{PSA_{0}}\) 1.57 (4) 1.57 (4) 1.55 (4) 1.56 (4)
ω ε 1.35 (5) 1.34 (5) 1.22 (5) 1.36 (5)
\(\omega _{T_{esc}}\) 0.68 (5) 0.64 (5) 0.63 (5) 0.66 (5)
σ 0.38 (1) 0.38 (1) 0.38 (1) 0.38 (1)