Skip to main content

Table 1 BIC and parameters estimates (r.s.e (%)) of PSA kinetics and survival in the N=400 patients for the 4 joint models

From: Nonlinear joint models for individual dynamic prediction of risk of death using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo: application to metastatic prostate cancer

Models

No link

Current PSA

PSA slope

Area under PSA

BIC

14350

14192

14291

14327

r (day−1)

0.054 (1)

0.054 (1)

0.055 (1)

0.054 (1)

P S A 0(ng.mL−1)

74.6 (8)

73.9 (8)

73.4 (8)

74.9 (8)

ε

0.35 (5)

0.34 (5)

0.35 (5)

0.35 (5)

T esc (day)

138 (4)

138 (4)

142 (4)

136 (4)

λ (day)

885 (4)

3800 (9)

1500 (9)

1410 (13)

k

1.52 (3)

1.19 (1)

1.33 (9)

1.15 (7)

β

-

0.32 (4)

100 (10)

0.00025 (20)

ω r

0.098 (5)

0.098 (4)

0.11 (5)

0.10 (5)

\(\omega _{PSA_{0}}\)

1.57 (4)

1.57 (4)

1.55 (4)

1.56 (4)

ω ε

1.35 (5)

1.34 (5)

1.22 (5)

1.36 (5)

\(\omega _{T_{esc}}\)

0.68 (5)

0.64 (5)

0.63 (5)

0.66 (5)

σ

0.38 (1)

0.38 (1)

0.38 (1)

0.38 (1)