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Table 3 The prediction results for one PD subject. Test data represent the predicted values for the outcome variables, with 95% credible intervals in parentheses

From: Predicting the multi-domain progression of Parkinson’s disease: a Bayesian multivariate generalized linear mixed-effect model

 

18-month

36-month

MDS-UPDRS-II (motor)

 True value from subject

24

25

 Based on Baselinea

25.53 (20.08, 30.9)

27.63 (22.30, 33.10)

 Based on Baseline and 18-monthb

 

27.17 (23.18, 31.17)

MDS-UPDRS-I (non-motor)

 True value from subject

25

33

 Based on Baselinea

23.14 (17.47, 28.75)

25.86 (20.04, 31.76)

 Based on Baseline and 18-monthb

 

26.16 (21.32, 30.95)

Imbalance

 True value

1

0

 Based on Baselinea

1.00 (0.52, 1.00)

1.00 (0.35, 1.00)

 Based on Baseline and 18-monthb

 

1.00 (0.34, 1.00)

  1. a Each prediction for the 36-month outcome measure was based on baseline data alone
  2. b a combination of the baseline and 18-month data
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BMC Medical Research Methodology

ISSN: 1471-2288

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