Table 1 Simulation scenarios

Scenario

\(\lambda _{0}^{MI}(t,t_{prev})\)

\(\lambda _{0}^{D}(t,t_{prev})\)

exp(β^MI(t _prev ))

exp(β^D(t _prev ))

1a

0.25

0.25

0.5

0.5

1b

0.25

0.25

0.5

0.7

1c

0.25

0.25

0.7

0.5

1d

0.25

0.25

0.7

1.5

1e

0.25

0.25

1.5

0.7

2a

\(0.25\cdot 1/\sqrt {t_{prev}}\)

\(0.25\cdot 1/\sqrt {t_{prev}}\)

0.5

0.5

2b

\(0.25\cdot 1/\sqrt {t_{prev}}\)

\(0.25\cdot 1/\sqrt {t_{prev}}\)

0.5

0.7

2c

\(0.25\cdot 1/\sqrt {t_{prev}}\)

\(0.25\cdot 1/\sqrt {t_{prev}}\)

0.7

0.5

2d

\(0.25\cdot 1/\sqrt {t_{prev}}\)

\(0.25\cdot 1/\sqrt {t_{prev}}\)

0.7

1.5

2e

\(0.25\cdot 1/\sqrt {t_{prev}}\)

\(0.25\cdot 1/\sqrt {t_{prev}}\)

1.5

0.7

3a

t ^0.3

t ^0.3

0.5

0.5

3b

t ^0.3

t ^0.3

0.5

0.7

3c

t ^0.3

t ^0.3

0.7

0.5

3d

t ^0.3

t ^0.3

0.7

1.5

3e

t ^0.3

t ^0.3

1.5

0.7

3f

1.5·t^0.3

t ^0.3

0.5

0.5

4a

0.25

0.25

0.5 exp(0.05ln(0.5)·t _prev )

0.5 exp(0.05ln(0.5)·t _prev )

4b

0.25

0.25

0.5 exp(0.05ln(0.5)·t _prev )

0.7 exp(0.05ln(0.7)·t _prev )

4c

0.25

0.25

0.7 exp(0.05ln(0.7)·t _prev )

0.5 exp(0.05ln(0.5)·t _prev )

4d

0.25

0.25

0.7 exp(0.05ln(0.7)·t _prev )

1.5 exp(0.05ln(1.5)·t _prev )

4e

0.25

0.25

1.5 exp(0.05ln(1.5)·t _prev )

0.7 exp(0.05ln(0.7)·t _prev )

5a

0.25

0.25

0.5 exp(−0.05ln(0.5)·t _prev )

0.5 exp(−0.05ln(0.5)·t _prev )

5b

0.25

0.25

0.5 exp(−0.05ln(0.5)·t _prev )

0.7 exp(−0.05ln(0.7)·t _prev )

5c

0.25

0.25

0.7 exp(−0.05ln(0.7)·t _prev )

0.5 exp(−0.05ln(0.5)·t _prev )

5d

0.25

0.25

0.7 exp(−0.05ln(0.7)·t _prev )

1.5 exp(−0.05ln(1.5)·t _prev )

5e

0.25

0.25

1.5 exp(−0.05ln(1.5)·t _prev )

0.7 exp(−0.05ln(0.7)·t _prev )

5f

0.25

0.25

0.5 exp(−0.5ln(0.5)·t _prev )

0.5 exp(−0.5ln(0.5)·t _prev )