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Table 2 Results from the prediction models for data simulated with prevalence = 50%, ICC = .20, n = 5000 (J = S = 50, nj = nc=100), β1 = 1.5 (the default setting)

From: Prediction models for clustered data with informative priors for the random effects: a simulation study

 

Optimal score

FREQ

BAYES.WI

BAYES.LI

BAYES.MI

BAYES.HI

FREQ.2

FREQ.3

FREQ.5

Overall Brier score

0

.191

.192

.179

.174

.170

.173

.170

.167

Overall C-index/AUC

1

.782

.781

.808

.818

.826

.822

.827

.833

Overall calibration slope

1

.911

.907

.957

.982

.989

.965

.972

.994

Within cluster C-index/AUCa

1

.805 [.037]

.805 [.037]

.805 [.037]

.805 [.037]

.805 [.037]

.805 [.037]

.805 [.037]

.805 [.037]

Within cluster calibration slopea

1

.914 [.102]

.914 [.102]

.947 [.091]

.956 [.078]

.963 [.058]

.954 [.092]

.973 [.080]

.977 [.062]

  1. amean[sd]