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Table 3 Selection probabilities and total numbers of toxicities observed for logistic model, power model and NCRM under six scenarios

From: A nonparametric Bayesian continual reassessment method in single-agent dose-finding studies

  

Dose level

# of

# of

Scenario

Method

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Tox.

Pat.

1

Logistic

0.000

0.000

0.008

0.227

0.637

0.128

0.000

0.000

15

60

 

Power

0.000

0.000

0.004

0.212

0.664

0.120

0.000

0.000

15

60

 

NCRM5a

0.000

0.002

0.001

0.161

0.773

0.063

0.000

0.000

15

60

 

NCRM2a

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.007

0.980

0.013

0.000

0.000

16

60

2

Logistic

0.000

0.001

0.042

0.362

0.571

0.024

0.000

0.000

13

60

 

Power

0.000

0.001

0.028

0.369

0.581

0.021

0.000

0.000

14

60

 

NCRM5

0.002

0.000

0.005

0.292

0.698

0.003

0.000

0.000

15

60

 

NCRM2

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.186

0.814

0.000

0.000

0.000

14

60

3

Logistic

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.002

0.043

0.108

0.306

0.541

13

60

 

Power

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.001

0.031

0.104

0.311

0.553

13

60

 

NCRM5

0.000

0.001

0.007

0.019

0.028

0.117

0.373

0.455

13

60

 

NCRM2

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.008

0.379

0.613

13

60

4

Logistic

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.002

0.036

0.143

0.286

0.533

11

60

 

Power

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.028

0.128

0.321

0.523

11

60

 

NCRM5

0.000

0.001

0.003

0.007

0.011

0.086

0.289

0.603

12

60

 

NCRM2

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.004

0.263

0.733

12

60

5

Logistic

0.804

0.189

0.007

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

20

60

 

Power

0.811

0.183

0.006

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

20

60

 

NCRM5

0.898

0.100

0.002

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

19

60

 

NCRM2

0.971

0.029

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

19

60

6

Logistic

0.970

0.027

0.003

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

24

60

 

Power

0.972

0.028

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

24

60

 

NCRM5

0.987

0.013

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

24

60

 

NCRM2

1.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

24

60

  1. aNCRM5 and NCRM2 denote NCRM method with α=5 and 20, respectively