Scenario
|
DPOs based on AJ estimatora
|
---|
u
i
|
λ
01
|
λ
02
|
λ
0
D
|
λ
c
|
no events
|
1 event
|
2 events
|
a terminal event
|
---|
Absolute biasb
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.0003
|
− 0.00002
|
0.0006
|
−0.0008
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.0003
|
−0.0004
|
0.0010
|
−0.0008
|
Γ (0.5, 0.5)
|
1
|
1
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.0011
|
−0.0002
|
− 0.0011
|
0.0002
|
Γ (0.5, 0.5)
|
1
|
2
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.0011
|
−0.0002
|
− 0.0010
|
0.0002
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
0.3
|
2
|
−0.0025
|
−0.0017
|
0.0040
|
0.0002
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
0.3
|
2
|
−0.0057
|
0.0088
|
−0.0032
|
0.0001
|
Γ (0.5, 0.5)
|
1
|
1
|
0.3
|
2
|
−0.0081
|
0.0086
|
0.0055
|
−0.0060
|
Γ (0.5, 0.5)
|
1
|
2
|
0.3
|
2
|
−0.0094
|
0.0137
|
0.0010
|
−0.0053
|
Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE)
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.0264
|
0.0316
|
0.0241
|
0.0245
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.0264
|
0.0270
|
0.0281
|
0.0245
|
Γ (0.5, 0.5)
|
1
|
1
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.0261
|
0.0238
|
0.0207
|
0.0211
|
Γ (0.5, 0.5)
|
1
|
2
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.0261
|
0.0214
|
0.0225
|
0.0209
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
0.3
|
2
|
0.0724
|
0.0836
|
0.0697
|
0.0681
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
0.3
|
2
|
0.0704
|
0.0749
|
0.0783
|
0.0687
|
Γ (0.5, 0.5)
|
1
|
1
|
0.3
|
2
|
0.0703
|
0.0644
|
0.0526
|
0.0562
|
Γ (0.5, 0.5)
|
1
|
2
|
0.3
|
2
|
0.0701
|
0.0609
|
0.0620
|
0.0575
|
- a Proposed in eq.(5) and eq.(7)
- b Mean differences between true values and dynamic predicted values; True values are empirical probabilities of event numbers calculated using potential event times. Dynamic predicted values are expectations of proposed DPOs