Serological data | Models | Estimates |
---|---|---|
Measles | Logistic model with piecewise constant prevalence | \( {\widehat{\beta}}_{Measles}=\left(0.108,1.733,1.412,1.819,2.479,3.863\right) \) |
Mumps | Logistic model with piecewise constant prevalence | \( {\widehat{\beta}}_{Mumps}=\left(-0.575,1.317,1.990,1.950,2.145,2.112\right) \) |
Rubella | Logistic model with piecewise constant prevalence | \( {\widehat{\beta}}_{Rub}=\left(0.050,1.912,2.356,2.419,3.099,3.339\right) \) |
VZV | MSIR piecewise constant force of infection | \( {\widehat{\lambda}}_{VZV}=\left(\mathrm{0.330,0.301,0.245,0},\mathrm{0.071,0.116}\right) \) |
Exponentially damped model for force of infection | \( {\widehat{\alpha}}_{VZV}=\left(\mathrm{0.476,0.468,0.071}\right) \) | |
Parvovirus B19 | MSIR piecewise constant force of infection | \( {\widehat{\lambda}}_{B19}=\left(\mathrm{0.065,0.086,0.114,0.036,0},0.014\right) \) |
Exponentially damped model for force of infection | \( {\widehat{\alpha}}_{B19}=\left(\mathrm{0.076,0.241,0.006}\right) \) | |
MSIR model with boosting and waning (MSIRWb-ext AW) | \( \widehat{q}=0.085 \), \( {\widehat{\varepsilon}}_1=0.012 \), \( {\widehat{\varepsilon}}_2=0 \), and \( \widehat{\varphi}=0.334 \). |