| Risk factor groupingsa | AUC: CV | AUC: Across- participants test set | AUC: Within- participants test set | Across-subject test set accuracy at the optimal thresholdc |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
All participants | All predictors | 0.77 | 0.78 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
Sociodemographic | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0.55 | |
Indoor/home exposures | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 0.60 | |
Traffic/Air pollution exposures | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.55 | |
Symptoms/medication use | 0.75 | 0.76 | 0.73 | 0.75 | |
Asthma/eczema | 0.68 | 0.69 | 0.67 | 0.71 | |
BCP (lag 1) onlyb | Â | 0.71 | 0.68 | 0.79 | |
BCP (lag 1) and traffic/air pollution exposures | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.68 | 0.79 | |
Top 10 risk factors | 0.77 | 0.78 | 0.75 | 0.75 | |
Asthmatics | All predictors | 0.70 | 0.71 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
Sociodemographic | 0.52 | 0.55 | 0.54 | 0.52 | |
Indoor/home exposures | 0.50 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.52 | |
Traffic/Air pollution exposures | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.51 | |
Symptoms/medication use | 0.70 | 0.71 | 0.69 | 0.67 | |
Asthma/eczema | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.50 | |
BCP (lag 1) onlyb | Â | 0.68 | 0.67 | 0.68 | |
BCP (lag 1) and traffic/air pollution exposures | 0.67 | 0.68 | 0.67 | 0.68 | |
Top 10 risk factors | 0.70 | 0.71 | 0.68 | 0.67 | |
Non-Asthmatics | All predictors | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.76 |
Sociodemographic | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 0.49 | |
Indoor/home exposures | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.51 | |
Traffic/Air pollution exposures | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.51 | 0.57 | |
Symptoms/medication use | 0.69 | 0.70 | 0.68 | 0.77 | |
Asthma/eczema | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.71 | |
BCP (lag 1) onlyb | Â | 0.67 | 0.64 | 0.81 | |
BCP (lag 1) and traffic/air pollution exposures | 0.67 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.84 | |
Top 10 risk factors | 0.71 | 0.72 | 0.69 | 0.75 |