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Table 4 Final analyses based on the resulting sample collected from each design

From: Using Bayesian adaptive designs to improve phase III trials: a respiratory care example

 

OSCAR trial

Design 2

Design 3

Design 5

Primary outcome (control; HFOV)

163/397 (41.1%); 166/398 (41.7%)

154/377 (40.8%); 156/373 (41.8%)

138/339 (40.7%); 134/331 (40.5%)

156/380 (41.1%); 157/375 (41.9%)

RR (95% CI)

1.02 (0.86, 1.20)

1.02 (0.86, 1.22)

0.99 (0.83, 1.20)

1.02 (0.86, 1.21)

Posterior probability HFOV superior

0.46

0.40

0.53

0.40

Number of deaths in trial

329

310

272

313

Number randomiseda

795

750

670

775

Recruitment savings from original sample size of N = 1006

211

256

336

231

Recruitment savings from achieved OSCAR sample size of N = 795

NA

45

125

20

Accrual Duration (weeks)b

243

227

203

228

  1. aBased on the number of patients required to trigger the interim analyses at which the trial was stopped. bThese numbers are based on the randomisation date for the patient that triggered the interim analysis at which the trial was stopped