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Table 2 The internal and external validation performances of the existing stroke prediction models

From: Feasibility and evaluation of a large-scale external validation approach for patient-level prediction in an international data network: validation of models predicting stroke in female patients newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation

 

ATRIA

Framingham

CHADS2

CHA2DS2VASc

Q-Stroke

Internal c-statistic

0.72

0.66

0.82

0.61

0.65

External c-statistic

     

UK Electronic Medical Records (EMR) 2015 [13]

0.7 (0.69–0.71)

0.68 (0.67–0.69)

0.68 (0.67–0.69)

Swedish EMR 2016 [14]

0.71 (0.70–0.71)

0.69 (0.69–0.70)

0.69 (0.69–0.70)

Taiwan 2016 [15]

0.66

0.70

New Zealand, Russia and the Netherlands 2014 [16]

0.70 (0.68–0.73)

0.71 (0.69–0.73)

UK EMR 2010 [17]

0.65 (0.63–0.68)

0.66 (0.64–0.68)

0.67 (0.65–0.69)

  1. Internal and previously published external model fit statistics for each of the five models that predict stroke in atrial fibrillation patients