Fig. 3
From: An R package for an integrated evaluation of statistical approaches to cancer incidence projection
Coverages of future projections after 2, 5, 10, 15 and 20 yrs. based on models with a 15 yr observation period. Dashed line: 95% coverage. Int: intercept only model, lin + interact: linear age, period and interaction effects, age,bs: univariate smoother (B-spline) for age, splineTensor: tensor product smoother (age, period), M-spline basis. GLMs, GAMs: neg-binomial distribution