Table 2 Linear regression coefficients for factors associated with prediction accuracy (AEIL)
| Â | Number of data points in weeks (95% CI) | Growth in logarithmic case counts until estimation (95% CI) | Interaction term (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
Day of estimation | −0.077*** (− 0.114 to − 0.040) | −0.016 (− 0.055 to 0.023) | 0.002 (− 0.005 to 0.009) |
Two weeks forecast | −0.073* (− 1.304 to − 0.015) | −0.100** (− 1.614 to − 0.039) | 0.011* (0.000 to 0.022) |
One month forecast | − 0.131** (− 0.216 to − 0.046) | −0.145** (− 0.235 to − 0.054) | 0.017* (0.001 to 0.034) |
Two months forecast | −0.242*** (− 0.361 to − 0.124) | −0.242*** (− 0.368 to − 0.117) | 0.032** (0.010 to 0.055) |