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Table 3 Short-term predictions of the total number of reported COVID-19 cases based on the 3PL model in Western Cape, Eastern Cape and Gauteng

From: Short-term real-time prediction of total number of reported COVID-19 cases and deaths in South Africa: a data driven approach

 

Western Cape

Eastern Cape

Gauteng

Date

Prediction

Prediction Interval

Observed cases

Prediction

Prediction interval

Observed cases

Prediction

Prediction interval

Observed cases

26-Jun-20

57,481

57,135–58,197

57,941

19,325

18,993–19,716

21,938

27,930

27,433–28,428

31,344

1-Jul-20

62,129

61,733–63,044

64,377

20,952

20,437–21,541

29,340

32,623

31,783–33,566

45,944

6-Jul-20

65,668

65,228–66,756

70,938

21,516

20,904–22,210

38,081

34,927

33,770–36,240

66,891

11-Jul-20

68,259

67,768–69,501

77,336

21,693

21,040–22,439

48,232

35,905

34,614–37,415

93,044

17-Jul-20

70,399

69,867–71,785

84,254

21,751

21,083–22,519

58,860

36,294

34,942–37,904

123,408

22-Jul-20

71,592

71,020–73,069

87,847

21,764

21,092–22,536

67,818

36,445

35,067–38,100

144,582