Table 5 Short-term predictions of the total of COVID-19 related deaths for the Western Cape Province
3 Parameter logistic | Gompertz | Richards | Observed deaths | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Prediction | Prediction Interval | Prediction | Prediction Interval | Prediction | Prediction Interval | |
26-Jun-20 | 1619.6 | (1531.5–1707.9) | 1708.3 | (1612.6–1797.9) | 1608.4 | (1509.7–1707.6) | 1692 |
1-Jul-20 | 1772.6 | (1665.2–1884.5) | 1975.5 | (1848–2104.1) | 1748.7 | (1610.7–1897) | 1896 |
6-Jul-20 | 1886.1 | (1754.5–2026.8) | 2239.9 | (2074–2417.4) | 1848.2 | (1666.9–2063.9) | 2101 |
11-Jul-20 | 1966.3 | (1815.9–2129.3) | 2496.6 | (2270.7–2733.8) | 1915.2 | (1695.5–2188) | 2333 |
17-Jul-20 | 2029.6 | (1864.5–2217.6) | 2789.4 | (2496.5–3119.8) | 1965.3 | (1711.9–2302.8) | 2550 |
22-Jul-20 | 2063.2 | (1887.5–2265.7) | 3017.6 | (2654–3430.5) | 1990.6 | (1717.4–2381.4) | 2752 |