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Table 4 Comparison of forecast accuracy of three models across years for each country using multivariate Diebold-Mariano (DM) test

From: A multi-country comparison of stochastic models of breast cancer mortality with P-splines smoothing approach

Country

Null Hypothesis

Test Statistic Value

P-Value

Decision

China

H0: SLC=FDM = BMS

OR

H0: All model hold Equal predictive accuracy

64.354

0.000

H0 is rejected

Pakistan

7.636

0.000

H0 is rejected

India

3624.1

0.000

H0 is rejected

Thailand

286.68

0.000

H0 is rejected

  1. Forecast period, 2011–2017