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Fig. 5 | BMC Medical Research Methodology

Fig. 5

From: Ensemble bootstrap methodology for forecasting dynamic growth processes using differential equations: application to epidemic outbreaks

Fig. 5

Representative sequential 20-day ahead forecasts (top to bottom panels) obtained from individual models (GLM, RIC, GOM) and two ensemble methods applied to synthetic data derived from the GOM model. Blue circles correspond to the data points. The mean fit (solid line) and 95% prediction interval (dashed lines) are also shown. The gray shaded areas help highlight differences in the 95% prediction intervals associated with the ensemble methods. The vertical line separates the calibration period (left) from the forecasting period (right)

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BMC Medical Research Methodology

ISSN: 1471-2288

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