| |
Time effects
|
Scenario 1
|
Scenario 2.1
|
Scenario 2.2
|
|
Model
|
Main
|
Interaction
|
Standard
|
Confounding (+)
|
Confounding (-)
|
|
index
|
fixed
|
random
|
fixed
|
random
|
%bias
|
SD
|
SE
|
cov
|
pwr
|
α
|
%bias
|
SD
|
SE
|
cov
|
pwr
|
α
|
%bias
|
SD
|
SE
|
cov
|
pwr
|
α
|
|
1
|
disc
| | | |
0.1
|
0.09
|
0.08
|
0.94
|
1
|
0.05
|
-0.7
|
0.11
|
0.08
|
0.83
|
1
|
0.22
|
0.1
|
0.11
|
0.09
|
0.91
|
1
|
0.11
|
|
2
|
disc
|
H/G
| | |
0.1
|
0.09
|
0.08
|
0.94
|
1
|
0.05
|
-0.8
|
0.11
|
0.09
|
0.92
|
1
|
0.08
|
0.1
|
0.11
|
0.1
|
0.93
|
1
|
0.07
|
|
3
|
disc
|
UN
| | |
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.11
|
0.96
|
1
|
0.05
|
-0.2
|
0.12
|
0.12
|
0.95
|
0.99
|
0.06
|
1.3
|
0.13
|
0.12
|
0.94
|
0.98
|
0.05
|
|
4
|
disc
|
lin
| | |
0.1
|
0.09
|
0.08
|
0.94
|
1
|
0.06
|
-0.3
|
0.11
|
0.08
|
0.82
|
1
|
0.22
|
0.1
|
0.11
|
0.09
|
0.89
|
1
|
0.11
|
|
5
|
disc
|
H/G
|
lin
|
H/G
|
0.8
|
0.23
|
0.24
|
0.95
|
0.6
|
0.06
|
0.6
|
0.29
|
0.26
|
0.92
|
0.52
|
0.07
|
6.1
|
0.28
|
0.26
|
0.93
|
0.55
|
0.08
|
|
6
|
disc
|
UN
|
lin
|
UN
|
0.3
|
0.27
|
0.31
|
0.97
|
0.38
|
0.03
|
0.7
|
0.32
|
0.33
|
0.95
|
0.34
|
0.05
|
8
|
0.33
|
0.35
|
0.97
|
0.35
|
0.04
|
|
7
|
disc
|
lin
|
lin
|
lin
|
1.3
|
0.24
|
0.24
|
0.96
|
0.59
|
0.06
|
1.8
|
0.29
|
0.23
|
0.86
|
0.58
|
0.15
|
6.3
|
0.28
|
0.26
|
0.93
|
0.57
|
0.1
|
|
8
|
lin
|
H/G
|
lin
|
H/G
|
-0.7
|
0.14
|
0.14
|
0.95
|
0.95
|
0.05
|
-6.2
|
0.17
|
0.16
|
0.9
|
0.84
|
0.11
|
4.9
|
0.17
|
0.16
|
0.93
|
0.91
|
0.08
|
|
9
|
lin
|
UN
|
lin
|
UN
|
-1.6
|
0.16
|
0.17
|
0.97
|
0.84
|
0.04
|
-4.9
|
0.19
|
0.19
|
0.94
|
0.75
|
0.06
|
3.2
|
0.19
|
0.21
|
0.95
|
0.77
|
0.06
|
|
10
|
lin
|
lin
|
lin
|
lin
|
-1
|
0.14
|
0.14
|
0.94
|
0.95
|
0.06
|
-10.8
|
0.18
|
0.13
|
0.81
|
0.87
|
0.24
|
2.5
|
0.17
|
0.15
|
0.91
|
0.92
|
0.12
|
| |
Time effects
|
Scenario 3
|
Scenario 4.1
|
Scenario 4.2
|
|
Model
|
Main
|
Interaction
|
Early adoption
|
Confounding (+)& Early adoption
|
Confounding (-)& Early adoption
|
|
index
|
fixed
|
random
|
fixed
|
random
|
%bias
|
SD
|
SE
|
cov
|
pwr
|
α
|
%bias
|
SD
|
SE
|
cov
|
pwr
|
α
|
%bias
|
SD
|
SE
|
cov
|
pwr
|
α
|
|
1
|
disc
| | | |
-33.9
|
0.09
|
0.09
|
0.48
|
0.96
|
0.04
|
-34
|
0.12
|
0.08
|
0.45
|
0.93
|
0.21
|
-33.3
|
0.12
|
0.09
|
0.52
|
0.92
|
0.1
|
|
2
|
disc
|
H/G
| | |
-33.9
|
0.09
|
0.09
|
0.49
|
0.96
|
0.04
|
-34.3
|
0.11
|
0.1
|
0.57
|
0.89
|
0.1
|
-33.4
|
0.12
|
0.1
|
0.58
|
0.89
|
0.07
|
|
3
|
disc
|
UN
| | |
-33.6
|
0.11
|
0.11
|
0.68
|
0.85
|
0.03
|
-33.1
|
0.12
|
0.12
|
0.71
|
0.77
|
0.07
|
-32
|
0.14
|
0.13
|
0.73
|
0.74
|
0.05
|
|
4
|
disc
|
lin
| | |
-34.3
|
0.09
|
0.08
|
0.44
|
0.97
|
0.05
|
-34.1
|
0.12
|
0.08
|
0.45
|
0.94
|
0.21
|
-33.4
|
0.11
|
0.09
|
0.51
|
0.93
|
0.12
|
|
5
|
disc
|
H/G
|
lin
|
H/G
|
-3.4
|
0.26
|
0.24
|
0.93
|
0.53
|
0.06
|
-3.5
|
0.31
|
0.27
|
0.91
|
0.45
|
0.09
|
-0.9
|
0.3
|
0.27
|
0.93
|
0.47
|
0.08
|
|
6
|
disc
|
UN
|
lin
|
UN
|
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.33
|
0.96
|
0.33
|
0.03
|
1.1
|
0.34
|
0.35
|
0.94
|
0.33
|
0.05
|
2.5
|
0.33
|
0.36
|
0.96
|
0.28
|
0.04
|
|
7
|
disc
|
lin
|
lin
|
lin
|
-2.1
|
0.27
|
0.25
|
0.93
|
0.54
|
0.06
|
-0.5
|
0.32
|
0.24
|
0.86
|
0.56
|
0.17
|
0
|
0.3
|
0.26
|
0.92
|
0.5
|
0.08
|
|
8
|
lin
|
H/G
|
lin
|
H/G
|
-1.3
|
0.14
|
0.14
|
0.95
|
0.94
|
0.06
|
-7.4
|
0.18
|
0.16
|
0.91
|
0.81
|
0.09
|
1.6
|
0.18
|
0.16
|
0.93
|
0.87
|
0.08
|
|
9
|
lin
|
UN
|
lin
|
UN
|
-0.5
|
0.16
|
0.18
|
0.96
|
0.84
|
0.04
|
-5.2
|
0.19
|
0.2
|
0.94
|
0.72
|
0.06
|
1.7
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.96
|
0.74
|
0.05
|
|
10
|
lin
|
lin
|
lin
|
lin
|
-1.2
|
0.14
|
0.14
|
0.94
|
0.95
|
0.05
|
-11.7
|
0.19
|
0.13
|
0.8
|
0.85
|
0.22
|
-0.7
|
0.18
|
0.15
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.11
|
- % bias \(\left (\frac {\widehat {\theta }-\theta }{\theta }\right)\), standard deviation (SD), estimated standard error (SE), coverage rate of 95% confidence interval (cov), power (pwr), and Type 1 error (α) of estimated intervention effect. Rows correspond to fitting models 1 through 10 under the scenarios described in Table 2; +/- imply positive/negative effect of confounding factors on outcome. Models include discrete (disc) or linear (lin) fixed time effects for all clusters (main effect) and/or control clusters (interaction effect). H/G, UN, and lin indicate Hooper/Girling, unstructured, and linear random effect structure for time effects