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Table 2 Comparison of comparative treatment estimates of all models considered in the analysis for viral suppression at 48 weeks as an outcome

From: Comparing the use of aggregate data and various methods of integrating individual patient data to network meta-analysis and its application to first-line ART

Analyses

Model

DTG vs. EFV

OR (95% CrI)

EFV400 vs. EFV

OR (95% CrI)

DTG vs. EFV400

OR (95% CrI)

Mean change in log-odds

Maximum change in log-odds

Mean change in proportion

Maximum change in proportion

AgD NMA – Unadjusted

Fixed

1.85 (1.44, 2.38)

1.15 (0.75, 1.80)

1.61 (0.96, 2.68)

–

–

–

–

AgD NMA meta-regression – CD4

Fixed

1.87 (1.49, 2.39)

1.16 (0.74, 1.97)

1.62 (0.92, 2.59)

0.033

0.089

0.005

0.015

AgD NMA meta-regression – HIV RNA

Fixed

1.85 (1.45, 2.38)

1.15 (0.75, 1.80)

1.61 (0.97, 2.67)

0.001

0.004

0

0

AgD NMA meta-regression – Male

Fixed

1.85 (1.45, 2.38)

1.17 (0.73, 1.86)

1.59 (0.93, 2.73)

0.003

0.013

0

0.002

Two-stage AgD NMA – CD4 + HIV RNA + Male

Fixed

1.44 (1.12, 1.85)

1.16 (0.75, 1.80)

1.24 (0.75, 2.05)

0.063

0.266

0.01

0.042

Two-stage AgD NMA – CD4 + Male

Fixed

1.50 (1.16, 1.93)

1.15 (0.74, 1.81)

1.30 (0.78, 2.16)

0.057

0.221

0.01

0.035

Two-stage AgD NMA – CD4 + HIV RNA

Fixed

1.59 (1.23, 2.04)

1.16 (0.74, 1.80)

1.37 (0.82, 2.28)

0.056

0.183

0.009

0.029

Two-stage AgD NMA – HIV RNA + Male

Fixed

1.49 (1.16, 1.93)

1.15 (0.74, 1.79)

1.29 (0.78, 2.15)

0.065

0.238

0.009

0.036

Two-stage AgD NMA – HIV RNA

Fixed

1.34 (1.04, 1.74)

1.16 (0.74, 1.80)

1.16 (0.70, 1.94)

0.073

0.32

0.012

0.052

Two-stage AgD NMA – CD4

Fixed

1.46 (1.12, 1.91)

1.15 (0.75, 1.79)

1.27 (0.75, 2.11)

0.072

0.253

0.011

0.04

Two-stage AgD NMA – Male

Random

1.44 (1.05, 1.99)

1.15 (0.66, 2.04)

1.24 (0.65, 2.39)

0.059

0.299

0.008

0.044

One-stage IPD-AgD NMA – unadjusted

Fixed

1.60 (1.26, 2.02)

1.16 (0.75, 1.80)

1.38 (0.84, 2.27)

0.046

0.155

0.014

0.03

One-stage IPD-AgD NMA – CD4 + HIV RNA+ Male

Fixed

1.57 (1.23, 2.00)

1.10 (0.70, 1.72)

1.43 (0.86, 2.38)

0.076

0.167

0.052

0.068

One-stage IPD-AgD NMA – CD4 + Male

Fixed

1.54 (1.21, 1.95)

1.12 (0.72, 1.75)

1.37 (0.83, 2.26)

0.085

0.187

0.031

0.05

One-stage IPD-AgD NMA – CD4 + HIV RNA

Fixed

1.57 (1.24, 2.00)

1.10 (0.70, 1.72)

1.43 (0.85, 2.39)

0.076

0.166

0.03

0.048

One-stage IPD-AgD NMA – HIV RNA + Male

Fixed

1.58 (1.24, 2.01)

1.11 (0.71, 1.73)

1.41 (0.85, 2.36)

0.06

0.161

0.054

0.07

One-stage IPD-AgD NMA – CD4

Fixed

1.54 (1.22, 1.95)

1.12 (0.72, 1.75)

1.38 (0.84, 2.26)

0.083

0.181

0.02

0.037

One-stage IPD-AgD NMA – HIV RNA

Fixed

1.56 (1.23, 1.97)

1.12 (0.72, 1.75)

1.39 (0.85, 2.27)

0.066

0.174

0.022

0.039

One-stage IPD-AgD NMA – Male

Fixed

1.61 (1.27, 2.04)

1.15 (0.74, 1.80)

1.39 (0.83, 2.33)

0.042

0.142

0.008

0.026

Two-stage empirical-priors – CD4 + HIV RNA + Male

Fixed

1.60 (1.21, 2.13)

1.08 (0.68, 1.70)

1.48 (0.87, 2.54)

0.102

0.271

0.022

0.049

Two-stage empirical-priors – CD4 + Male

Fixed

1.62 (1.24, 2.12)

1.10 (0.70, 1.71)

1.48 (0.88, 2.49)

0.106

0.245

0.023

0.047

Two-stage empirical-priors – CD4 + HIV RNA

Fixed

1.65 (1.25, 2.17)

1.09 (0.70, 1.71)

1.50 (0.88, 2.54)

0.087

0.233

0.016

0.042

Two-stage empirical-priors – HIV RNA + Male

Fixed

1.58 (1.21, 2.05)

1.10 (0.70, 1.74)

1.43 (0.85, 2.40)

0.092

0.194

0.02

0.039

Two-stage empirical-priors – CD4

Fixed

1.67 (1.28, 2.17)

1.11 (0.71, 1.73)

1.50 (0.90, 2.52)

0.092

0.211

0.019

0.041

Two-stage empirical-priors – HIV RNA

Fixed

1.58 (1.24, 2.03)

1.11 (0.71, 1.74)

1.42 (0.85, 2.37)

0.083

0.178

0.021

0.04

Two-stage empirical-priors – Male

Fixed

1.58 (1.22, 2.04)

1.14 (0.73, 1.79)

1.38 (0.83, 2.32)

0.056

0.16

0.011

0.028

HMR IPD-AgD NMA – CD4

Fixed

1.34 (0.96, 1.88)

0.94 (0.57, 1.58)

1.42 (0.87, 2.31)

0.226

0.321

0.131

0.148

HMR IPD-AgD NMA – HIV RNA

Fixed

2.03 (0.92, 3.96)

1.36 (0.67, 2.57)

1.48 (0.89, 2.46)

0.16

0.221

0.120

0.170

HMR IPD-AgD NMA – Male

Fixed

2.20 (1.25, 4.02)

1.48 (0.81, 2.80)

1.48 (0.88, 2.48)

0.258

0.309

0.036

0.050

  1. AgD Aggregate data, IPD Individual patient data, NMA Network meta-analysis, EFV Efavirenz, DTG Dolutegravir, EFV400 Low-dose efavirenz, OR Odds ratio, CrI Credible interval. Note that DTG vs EFV is estimated through a mixed treatment comparison, EFV400 vs EFV by direct comparison and DTG vs EFV400 by an indirect comparison