Fig. 1
From: Bayesian additional evidence for decision making under small sample uncertainty
Illustration of the BAE method, given an initial non-significant result, where the hazard ratio confidence interval includes the null value of 1. Assuming the same standard error in a follow-up study, BAE outputs the tipping point hazard ratio estimate that would result in a posterior 95% credible interval that just touches the null value at the upper limit. Therefore, observing the tipping point hazard ratio or anything lower would yield posterior credibility