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Table 1 How to apply and interpret BAE given significant or non-significant results from an initial analysis

From: Bayesian additional evidence for decision making under small sample uncertainty

Frequentist inference significant

Question: The analysis provides evidence of an effect. How robust would this evidence be given additional data?

BAE output: BAE provides the range of results that would yield non-credibility from a hypothetical follow-up study. If the tipping point is close to the null, then the evidence provided by the current analysis is strong.

Conclusion: If the range beyond the tipping point is considered plausible, then the current evidence is not strong enough.

Frequentist inference non-significant

Question: The analysis does not provide strong evidence of an effect. Is it worthwhile to obtain more data for further study?

BAE output: BAE provides the range of results that would need to be observed in a follow-up study in order to yield credible evidence of an effect. If the tipping point is close to the null, then the evidence provided by the current analysis is strong.

Conclusion: If the range beyond the tipping point is considered plausible, then we can declare the observed data to be useful, and might perform a follow-up study.