Table 2 Summary of expected cumulative values (with 95% confidence intervals) on July 31, 2021 obtained by the AB model for the vaccine prioritization strategies
Outcome/Prioritization Strategy | Infected Cases | Reported Cases | Hospitalized | Deaths | Date when new reported cases fell below 100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No vaccination | 1.71 M (1.66 M – 1.76 M) | 732 K (695 K – 770 K) | 18.7 K (18.3 K – 19.1 K) | 9 K (8.8 K – 9.3 K) | June 12, 2021 |
Minor variant of CDC | 1.55 M (1.38 M – 1.73 M) | 659 K (567 K – 752 K) | 17 K (15.7 k – 18.3 k) | 8 K (7.2 K – 8.8 K) | May 17, 2021 |
Age stratified | 1.58 M (1.43 M – 1.73 M) | 672 K (589 K – 754 K) | 17.6 K (16.6 k – 18.5 k) | 8.5 K (7.9 k – 8.9 k) | May 22, 2021 |
Random | 1.54 M (1.32 M – 1.75 M) | 649 K (538 K – 761 K) | 17.3 K (15.9 K – 18.7 K) | 8.4 K (7.6 K – 9.1 K) | May 7, 2021 |