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Table 2 Classification of the evidence

From: Modular literature review: a novel systematic search and review method to support priority setting in health policy and practice

Colour code

Standardized statement

Situations included

1. White

Unknown effect: Insufficient published research on the intervention’s effect on the outcome.

No RCTs, one low quality RCT with any result, or

One moderate-to-high quality RCT where 95% CI of the RR includes 1, or

Only narrative reporting

2. Grey

Unknown effect: Inconclusive published research on the intervention’s effect on the outcome.

At least two RCTs, 95% CI of the point estimate for a relative risk crosses widely on both sides of 1 (ranges from < 0.5 to > 2)

3. Green

Positive effect: The intervention likely reduces the risk of the adverse outcome.

At least two moderate-to-high quality RCTs included in a meta-analysis or IPD analysis, 95% CI of the point estimate of the RR is entirely below 1

4. Yellow

Possible positive effect: The intervention may reduce the risk of the adverse outcome.

At least two RCTs included in a meta-analysis or IPD analysis, 95% CI of the point estimate of the RR is entirely below 1, but there is concern about the quality of the data, or

at least two moderate-to-high quality RCTs included in a meta-analysis or IPD analysis, 95% CI of the point estimate of the RR includes 1 but 90% CI of the point estimate of the RR is entirely below 1, or

One moderate-to-high quality RCT, 95% CI of the point estimate of the RR is entirely below 1

5. Red

No positive effect: The intervention is not likely to reduce the risk of the adverse outcome.

Other situations, including meta-analysis results suggestive of harm