Fig. 2
From: Data-driven prediction of COVID-19 cases in Germany for decision making
Fit and prediction for Germany. The incidence data of the entire time course is fitted (panel a) to estimate all dynamic parameters including the time-dependent infection rate that corresponds to R(t) (panel d). Predictions of incidences (panels b and c) and derived quantities (panels e and f) for a zoomed in time span are shown. 95%-confidence intervals (color-shaded areas) are inferred by profile likelihood calculation. The independent results for all federal states are shown in the supplement (Additional file 1)