From: Global prediction model for COVID-19 pandemic with the characteristics of the multiple peaks and local fluctuations
Parameter
*Baseline value
*Range
p1 ~ p7
Fitted
Estimated
α
0.5
[0, 1]
Ï…
σ
1/5.2
[1/14, 1/3]
φ
θ
γC
1/15
[1/30, 1/3]
γI, γA
0.13978
dC, dI
0.015
[0.001, 0.1]