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Table 5 Out-of-sample comparisons of age-specific model-predicted prevalence in 20% of randomly excluded countries with the empirical observations from these countries (including territories and areas)

From: A framework to model global, regional, and national estimates of intimate partner violence

VAW outcomes (Nb. countries excluded)

Median (in % point)

Outside 95% CrI

Error

Absolute error

Below (%)

Above (%)

Lifetime IPV (30)

1.3%

7.6%

1.4%

1.0%

Past year IPV (31)

0.6%

3.8%

1.9%

1.6%

  1. 95%CrI 95% credible interval, IPV intimate partner violence
  2. Comparisons defined as “error = observed – predicted”. To improve stability of the metrics used for out-of-sample comparison, the process was repeated 20 times and the median estimates are presented above