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Table 6 Out-of-sample comparisons of age-specific model-predicted prevalence in 20% of randomly excluded studies with the empirical observations from these studies

From: A framework to model global, regional, and national estimates of intimate partner violence

VAW outcomes (Nb. surveys excluded)

Median (in % point)

Outside 95% CrI

Error

Absolute error

Below (%)

Above (%)

Lifetime IPV (61)

0.3%

6.6%

2.2%

1.6%

Past year IPV (66)

0.4%

3.1%

2.6%

2.6%

  1. 95%CrI 95% credible interval, IPV intimate partner violence
  2. Comparisons defined as “error = observed – predicted”. To improve stability of the metrics used for out-of-sample comparison, the process was repeated 20 times and the median estimates are presented above