Time | Original number of CHD cases | ARIMA(2,1,1) | Additive Holt-winters ES method |
---|---|---|---|
Last 12 week | 20 | 15 | 6 |
Last 11 week | 17 | 11 | 3 |
Last 10 week | 12 | 6 | 3 |
Last 9 week | 23 | 6 | 2 |
Last 8 week | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Last 7 week | 15 | 3 | 3 |
Last 6 week | 7 | 2 | 3 |
Last 5 week | 11 | 3 | 3 |
Last 4 week | 9 | 3 | 2 |
Last 3 week | 11 | 3 | 3 |
Last 2 week | 16 | 3 | 3 |
Last 1 week | 5 | 2 | 4 |
MSE | – | 84.83 | 137.17 |
MAPE | – | 226.07 | 245.47 |
RMSE | – | 9.21 | 11.71 |