Scenario no. | Mixing assumption‡ | Care Intervention (HIV-diagnosis rate, care-drop-out rate, and PrEP coverage) | Jurisdictional heterogeneity assumption | |
---|---|---|---|---|
EHE jurisdictions | non-EHE jurisdictions | |||
[S1] | No-mixing | Baseline (2018): Values kept constant at 2018 national estimates for all years | Baseline (2018): Values kept constant at 2018 national estimates for all years | Homogeneous care and risk group distribution: national estimates used for all jurisdictions |
[S2] | Level 1-mixing | |||
[S3] | Level-2 mixing | |||
[S4] | Level-3 mixing | |||
[S5] | No-mixing | EHE plan: Values calibrated to nationally achieve EHE targets (95–95-95) by 2025, and kept constant at 2025 value thereafter | EHE plan: Values kept constant at 2018 national estimates until 2025, and thereafter, calibrated to nationally achieve EHE targets (95–95-95) by 2030 | |
[S6] | Level 1-mixing | |||
[S7] | Level-2 mixing | |||
[S8] | Level-3 mixing | |||
[S9] | No-mixing | Baseline (2018): Values kept constant at 2018 jurisdiction-specific for all years | Baseline (2018): Values kept constant at 2018 jurisdiction-specific for all years | Heterogeneous care and risk group distribution: jurisdiction-specific estimates |
[S10] | Level 1-mixing | |||
[S11] | Level-2 mixing | |||
[S12] | Level-3 mixing | |||
[S13] | No-mixing | EHE plan: Jurisdiction-specific estimates calibrated to achieve EHE targets (95–95-95) within each jurisdiction by 2025, and kept constant at 2025 value thereafter | EHE plan: Jurisdiction-specific estimates kept constant at 2018 values until 2025, and thereafter, calibrated to achieve EHE targets (95–95-95) by 2030 within each jurisdiction | |
[S14] | Level 1-mixing | |||
[S15] | Level-2 mixing | |||
[S16] | Level-3 mixing |