Table 7 Percentage reduction in cumulative incidence† (2018–2030) (EHE plan⁋ compared to baseline intervention§)
Scenario no. ➔ (reference scenario) | S5⁋ (ref S1§) | S6⁋ (ref S2§) | S7⁋ (ref s3§) | S8⁋ (ref S4§) | S13⁋ (ref S9§) | S14⁋ (ref S10§) | S15⁋ (ref S11§) | S16⁋ (ref S12§) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Care assumption ➔ | Homogeneity in care across jurisdictions* | Heterogeneity in care across jurisdictions** | |||||||
Mixing assumption ➔ | No-mixing | Mixing level 1 | Mixing level 2 | Mixing level 3 | No-mixing | Mixing level 1 | Mixing level 2 | Mixing level 3 | |
Risk group
| Jurisdiction type
| ||||||||
All | National | −24% | − 27% | − 30% | − 30% | − 30% | −31% | − 33% | −33% |
EHE | −41% | − 40% | −38% | − 40% | −45% | − 44% | −41% | − 41% | |
Non-EHE | −5% | −14% | − 24% | − 23% | − 9% | − 15% | − 24% | −25% | |
HM | National | − 23% | − 24% | − 27% | − 27% | − 25% | − 27% | − 30% | − 30% |
EHE | −36% | − 35% | − 34% | − 37% | − 40% | − 39% | − 37% | − 37% | |
Non-EHE | −4% | −12% | − 22% | − 20% | − 9% | − 15% | − 25% | − 25% | |
HF | National | −24% | − 25% | − 28% | − 28% | − 25% | −27% | −30% | − 30% |
EHE | −38% | −38% | − 36% | − 38% | − 43% | − 42% | − 40% | −39% | |
Non-EHE | −3% | − 12% | −21% | − 20% | − 8% | − 14% | − 22% | − 23% | |
MSM | National | −25% | − 27% | − 31% | −31% | − 32% | − 33% | −35% | − 35% |
EHE | − 43% | −42% | − 40% | − 41% | −47% | − 45% | −42% | − 41% | |
Non-EHE | −5% | − 14% | − 25% | − 24% | − 10% | −16% | − 25% | − 26% | |
