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Table 2 Summary of posterior predictive checking based on the ten test statistics

From: Developing a Bayesian hierarchical model for a prospective individual patient data meta-analysis with continuous monitoring

Assumption

      

Treatment

CCP

Control

Test quantity: % subjects

\(T(D^{original})\)

95% int. for \(T(D^{rep})\)

Bayesian P value

\(T(D^{original})\)

95% int. for \(T(D^{rep})\)

Bayesian P value

 

a Proportional cumulative odds

WHO \(\le\) 0

5.32

[2.91, 7.99]

0.48

5.35

[2.18, 6.80]

0.14

WHO \(\le\) 1

14.19

[8.96, 16.95]

0.24

11.36

[7.28, 14.56]

0.34

WHO \(\le\) 2

21.06

[14.53, 24.21]

0.23

17.15

[11.65, 20.63]

0.32

WHO \(\le\) 3

27.94

[21.07, 32.20]

0.30

23.83

[17.48, 27.91]

0.29

WHO \(\le\) 4

35.25

[29.06, 41.16]

0.45

31.40

[24.76, 36.17]

0.34

WHO \(\le\) 5

46.12

[40.19, 53.03]

0.53

41.87

[34.95, 47.57]

0.42

WHO \(\le\) 6

58.31

[53.27, 65.86]

0.67

55.23

[48.06, 60.68]

0.40

WHO \(\le\) 7

66.74

[60.77, 72.64]

0.52

61.02

[55.58, 67.96]

0.61

WHO \(\le\) 8

82.04

[75.30, 85.23]

0.28

75.50

[71.36, 82.04]

0.68

WHO \(\le\) 9

92.90

[88.86, 95.16]

0.35

89.31

[86.41, 93.69]

0.74

 

b Non-proportional cumulative odds (Case I)

WHO \(\le\) 0

7.57

[2.91, 8.50]

0.07

0.67

[0.24, 2.66]

0.88

WHO \(\le\) 1

15.37

[8.25, 16.50]

0.07

1.55

[1.45, 5.08]

0.95

WHO \(\le\) 2

24.05

[16.75, 27.43]

0.21

5.99

[3.63, 8.96]

0.54

WHO \(\le\) 3

30.96

[24.03, 36.17]

0.37

9.31

[5.81, 12.59]

0.42

WHO \(\le\) 4

40.98

[35.19, 48.06]

0.55

15.30

[10.17, 18.89]

0.30

WHO \(\le\) 5

48.55

[41.75, 54.85]

0.44

16.85

[13.32, 22.76]

0.65

WHO \(\le\) 6

61.25

[53.40, 66.02]

0.32

21.51

[20.10, 31.23]

0.93

WHO \(\le\) 7

72.61

[69.90, 80.58]

0.84

43.02

[35.35, 47.70]

0.32

WHO \(\le\) 8

80.18

[76.21, 85.92]

0.65

48.56

[43.34, 55.93]

0.63

WHO \(\le\) 9

88.86

[84.47, 92.23]

0.42

61.86

[56.90, 69.01]

0.64

 

c Non-proportional cumulative odds (Case II)

WHO \(\le\) 0

9.11

[0.49, 3.16]

0.00

0.22

[3.15, 9.20]

1.00

WHO \(\le\) 1

15.33

[2.43, 7.28]

0.00

10.22

[11.62, 21.07]

1.00

WHO \(\le\) 2

23.78

[9.95, 18.45]

0.00

38.00

[32.69, 45.04]

0.61

WHO \(\le\) 3

33.11

[24.03, 36.17]

0.16

69.56

[57.14, 69.25]

0.02

WHO \(\le\) 4

38.22

[33.01, 46.12]

0.65

80.89

[66.83, 77.97]

0.00

WHO \(\le\) 5

48.89

[46.84, 59.95]

0.90

90.67

[77.72, 87.17]

0.00

WHO \(\le\) 6

60.44

[58.50, 71.12]

0.92

95.56

[84.75, 92.25]

0.00

WHO \(\le\) 7

75.78

[74.03, 84.47]

0.92

98.22

[91.53, 96.85]

0.00

WHO \(\le\) 8

82.89

[81.80, 90.53]

0.94

99.56

[94.19, 98.31]

0.00

WHO \(\le\) 9

92.22

[91.26, 97.09]

0.92

99.78

[97.34, 99.76]

0.01

  1. Note: Case I: the proportional cumulative odds assumption was violated only slightly. Case II: the proportional cumulative odds assumption was violated more extremely