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Fig. 4 | BMC Medical Research Methodology

Fig. 4

From: Comparison of State-of-the-Art Neural Network Survival Models with the Pooled Cohort Equations for Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction

Fig. 4

Kaplan–Meier Observed Event Rate and Predicted Event Rate for the ASCVD Outcome in the MESA Cohort. For each model, we divided participants into 10 groups (decile) based on their sorted predicted event rate. Then, for each decile, mean observed event rate (Kaplan–Meier method) was plotted against mean predicted event rate. In a perfectly calibrated model, the predicted event rate would be the same as the observed event rate in each decile. This means that all points would be clustered around the dotted identity line

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