Fig. 2
From: Unraveling the COVID-19 hospitalization dynamics in Spain using Bayesian inference
Daily number of beds occupied by COVID-19 patients in Aragon. To estimate the parameters of the model, we used information up to December 1, 2020. From December 1, the occupancy is obtained using the number of new detected cases, together with Eqs. (1) and (5). The solid line represents the median value of the estimation and the shaded area its 95% C.I., while the dots represent the observed data. Note that on December 28 vaccine roll-out started. The estimated parameters are \(\left\{{\upmu}^{\textrm{AR}},{\upsigma}^{\textrm{AR}},{\upsigma}_{\textrm{N}}^{\textrm{AR}}\right\}={2.48, 0.62, 42.63}\)