Skip to main content
Fig. 3 | BMC Medical Research Methodology

Fig. 3

From: Estimating disease incidence rates and transition probabilities in elderly patients using multi-state models: a case study in fragility fracture using a Bayesian approach

Fig. 3

Posterior mean and 0.95 credibility intervals of some relevant transition probabilities (from top-left to bottom-right): event-free probability (\(p_{F\!F}\)) counting from discharge after the first hip fracture; transition probability from the initial fracture state to refracture state (\(p_{F\!R}\)) counting from first fracture; probability of death after refracture (\(p_{R\!D}\)) counting from discharge after refracture; and total probability of death (\(p_{F\!D}\)) counting from first fracture. Up to 10 years, by sex, for patients aged 80 years old. Time scale is time since fracture for \(p_{F\!F}\), \(p_{F\!R}\), \(p_{F\!D}\), and time since refracture for \(p_{R\!D}\)

Back to article page

BMC Medical Research Methodology

ISSN: 1471-2288

Contact us