Fig. 6From: Estimating disease incidence rates and transition probabilities in elderly patients using multi-state models: a case study in fragility fracture using a Bayesian approachPosterior mean of the cumulative incidence of refracture (upper curve) and of the transition probability from initial state to refracture state (lower curve), for patients aged 80 years old, by sex. Light area in both figures represents the proportion of dead patients who had previously suffered a refracture while the dark area represents the proportion of refractured people still aliveBack to article page