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Table 1 Summary of the approximate posterior distribution of the parameters for the illness-death model

From: Estimating disease incidence rates and transition probabilities in elderly patients using multi-state models: a case study in fragility fracture using a Bayesian approach

Time

Parameter

Mean

SD

From F to R

\(\alpha ^{(F\!R)}\)

0.9198

0.0157

\(\lambda ^{(F\!R)}\)

0.0279

0.0013

\(\beta _{Wo}^{(F\!R)}\)

0.0262

0.0486

\(\beta _{Age}^{(F\!R)}\)

0.0244

0.0030

From F to D

\(\alpha ^{(F\!D)}\)

0.7759

0.0051

\(\lambda ^{(F\!D)}\)

0.3311

0.0050

\(\beta _{Wo}^{(F\!D)}\)

-0.5092

0.0166

\(\beta _{Age}^{(F\!D)}\)

0.0705

0.0012

From R to D

\(\alpha ^{(R\!D)}\)

0.6234

0.0154

\(\lambda ^{(R\!D)}\)

0.5769

0.0329

\(\beta _{Wo}^{(R\!D)}\)

-0.6127

0.0655

\(\beta _{Age}^{(R\!D)}\)

0.0498

0.0046