Table 2 One-year cumulative incidence of refracture, death without refracture and death after refracture. Table contains the posterior mean and a 0.95 credibility interval in percentage scale, by sex and age. Cumulative incidence of death after refracture equals to the transition probability of death after refracture at \(s=0\)

From F to R

Women

70

1.96

(1.76, 2.16)

80

2.39

(2.24, 2.55)

90

2.80

(2.60, 3.00)

Men

70

1.86

(1.65, 2.09)

80

2.21

(2.01, 2.42)

90

2.45

(2.21, 2.72)

From F to D

Women

70

7.36

(7.05, 7.67)

80

14.30

(13.95, 14.63)

90

26.72

(26.17, 27.26)

Men

70

11.95

(11.43, 12.46)

80

22.63

(22.02, 23.29)

90

40.35

(39.42, 41.36)

From R to D

Women

70

14.81

(12.81, 16.95)

80

23.15

(21.51, 24.83)

90

35.16

(32.79, 37.54)

Men

70

25.50

(22.02, 29.43)

80

38.49

(35.02, 42.07)

90

55.04

(50.55, 59.51)